💣 HR LEADERBOARD

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Every batter on tonight's slate ranked by our recommended HR probability — our daily-refit model blending sportsbook odds, matchup vs the starting pitcher, season power, and historical batter-vs-pitcher history. Sort by any column. Click a row for the full component breakdown. What do the badges mean?

—Batters

—Games

—Elite tier

—Edge ≥ +5pp

—Top edge

Tier ELITE STRONG GOOD SOLID BELOW · Badges (click to filter)

Team Tier Min season HR Min HR prob % Max odds xHR Due Min edge

≥ −50%

only edge > 0 0 shown

Badges 👑 #1 🏆 BIG VALUE 💎 VALUE 🎰 LONGSHOT 🌡️ CHALK 🔥 HOT FORM ❄️ COLD 💪 ELITE POWER ⚡ POWER 🥊 ARSENAL 🎯 MATCHUP ⚔️ TOUGH MATCHUP 🤝 BvP+ 👻 BvP− 🌪️ PARK BOOST 🚫 PARK DRAG 💀 K RISK Match

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You're seeing the top 5 ranked HR plays for today. Upgrade to view all 200+ batters, every component score, edge vs market, and matchup badges.

RK ▲	Batter	Tier	Odds	HR Prob	🔥 Hot Bat	⚔️ BvP	🔥⚔️ Hot+BvP	L3 HR	L5 HR	L7 HR	HR vs xHR	Due	Edge	Badges
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Methodology: P(HR) refits daily on the prior 14 days of outcomes (our model blends sportsbook implied probability, arsenal vs the starting pitcher, season power, and historical batter-vs-pitcher). Edge = P(HR) − market implied. Tiers anchored to overall composite score for legibility; ranking itself uses P(HR) with edge as tiebreaker. Batters whose HR price isn\u2019t posted yet still appear, ranked on the odds-free columns, with Odds and Edge shown as \u201c—\u201d. Hypothetical / illustrative — not betting advice.