+EV FINDER RETIRED
this tool made a claim we cannot support
This page has been retired. It ranked props by an EV% and sized
a Kelly stake beside each one. Both assert that our probability beats
the posted price. Graded out of sample against the de-vigged closing market,
it does not: every MLB prop family we can benchmark scores worse than
the close, and the rest โ pitcher strikeouts, game and team totals โ carry no
captured price at all, so they were never testable. Rather than dress the
same number in softer words, the page is gone.
What to use instead.
Shop the Line โ the honest
price-comparison tool. It shows
price improvement vs the field median
(how much the best posted number beats the consensus โ that is vig
reduction, not an edge) and, separately, the
de-vigged EV at the best
price published exactly as measured, with a count of how many rows are
genuinely +EV once the hold is removed. Usually very few. That is the point.
All Props โ every PrizePicks market
with our projection beside the posted line.
Markets โ every scraped market with the
de-vigged fair % and every book's price.
Projections โ the model's numbers,
with no verdict attached.
Why we are telling you this. One market on this whole network has a
demonstrated out-of-sample edge, and it is not on this site. Everything else
we publish is a projection, a line, a price, or a way to get a better price.
Those are worth paying for. A number that claims to beat the market is not,
unless it has a graded, priced ledger behind it โ and ours did not.